Yesterday Was Rough, But We're Looking To Finish The Week Strong With Today's Gambling Picks
RECORD
35-59-2 (-7.2 units)
I'm not going to lie; yesterday chapped my ass. We didn't hit with a home run prop. That's fine. In many ways, that's to be expected. I still love putting out home run props because they provide tremendous value, but the other games frustrated the hell out of me. The Braves have been pretty good to me as a ball club, but in the future, I will feel comfortable betting on them in every game in which Bryce Elder doesn't pitch. He gave up five runs in the first against the Cubs yesterday, and they ended up dropping the game 8-5. The Mariners would be the team that would save my gambling day. They had a two-run lead with two outs in the ninth and two strikes on CJ Cron, and before you knew it, the Angels cut the lead in half and had the winning run at second. The Angels lost because they always do in big-game situations, but that one really hurt. That was a rough beat. I wasn't into yesterday's board, but I felt we could at least get one solid win. That's not the case. I don't need to go back to the drawing board. We are still in the positives over the last week, but that was a kick in the balls. You have to wear it and move on. Let's take a look at today's picks. 
Orioles -1.5 (+120) against the Mets
In the future, it might be a good idea to bet on whoever is playing the New York Mets. The Orioles have pummeled New York over the last two nights. The fact that they're at plus money on the run line is incredible. Kyle Bradish is going for the Orioles. He's had an excellent year for Baltimore, but their offense gives me confidence in this ball game. José Quintana has not been awful for New York in a limited sample size. He can still pitch pretty good baseball, but if we're solely basing this on vibes, The New York Mets give off the worst vibes. Post-trade deadline, I feel like people will win a lot of money betting against them. At some point, Baltimore's schedule will heat up, and they will be playing better teams, but until then, their best course of action is just to beat the crap out of the New York Mets. I think they finish the sweep today. 
Marlins ML (+115) against the Rangers
A few weeks back, I said I was done putting my faith in Sandy Alcantara. For a brief second, that was a good idea. His ERA had ballooned to 4.70, and the Marlins were not winning the games he started. Over his last two outings, he's looked like the pitcher who won a Cy Young a season ago. He's pitched 17 innings over his previous two appearances and only given up one run. He has yet to face an offense this explosive, but I like the value with the Marlins here. Even though I enjoyed the trade deadline they had, the Marlins have yet to play particularly good baseball in the second half. They're reaching desperation mode. This team is 5-15 in the second half. They cannot afford to slip any further in the standings. They'll need their Cy Young winner to pitch like Cy Young winner today. I'll put my faith in them. 
Ha-Seong Kim to homer (+750) against the Dodgers
I'll know we're back on track if this thing cashes. Kim has had an excellent year, though he's not known for being a spectacular power hitter. Lance Lynn is going for the Los Angeles Dodgers. He's making only his second start for Los Angeles since being acquired in a trade from the White Sox. He'll pitch better for the Dodgers, as most pitchers do, but his home run rate this season is exponentially high, and while his sample size against him is small, Kim has owned him in limited appearances. He's 2-3 against him with a home run. I looked at other home run props that might've been more likely to hit, but the value wasn't there. I wouldn't say I like betting home run props when guys are only +240. These Dodgers/Padres games tend to have a flair for the dramatic. I hope Kim has a significant moment in him tonight.
All odds come from the Barstool Sportsbook. Follow Barstool Baseball on all platforms, including our YouTube page.